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Showing posts from November, 2024

unpredictable heat waves global map

Mysterious Heat-Wave Hotspots Emerge Worldwide, Leaving Scientists Puzzled Record-Breaking Temperatures and the Rise of Extreme Heat Events 2023 holds the record as the Earth's hottest year, with an average temperature 2.12° F above the 20th-century norm. This exceeded the  previous high set in 2016. Remarkably, the  past decade has  seen the to p 10 warmest years ever recorded . With the hottest summer and single day in history, 2024 is poised to break new records. The Emergence of Extreme Heat-Wave Hots pots This may not come as a sur prise to all, but amid the steady rise in average tem peratures, a striking anomaly has emerged: certain regions are ex periencing recurring heat waves so severe they sur pass the  predictive sco pe of current global warming models. Ma p ping the Hots pots Researchers in the Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences have  published the first global ma p  pin pointing regions of recurrent extreme heat waves, seen acros...

middle east north africa temperature surge

Middle East and North Africa to Face Alarming Temperature Surge, Experts Warn Accelerated Climate Change Threatens the Rigion A recent study highlights that the Middle East and North Africa, already among the hottest and driest regions globally, are ex periencing accelerated climate change, likely reaching critical warming thresholds 20 to 30 years ahead of other areas. By the end of the century, regions of the Arabian Peninsula may face tem perature increases of u p to 9 ° C (16.2 ° F). The region, already known for record-breaking summer heat, is nearing an average warming of 2 °C (3.6 °F ) above pre-industrial levels. Further temperature increases could render certain areas uninhabitable without adaptive strategies. Paris Agreement Goals Surpassed in the Region "The Paris Agreement emphasizes limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, with a maximum threshold of 2 °C," explained Abdul Malik, climate scientist at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology and lead author o...

global glacier melt projections 2100

Global Glaciers Face Accelerated Melting: Significant Mass Loss by 2100 Introduction: The Impact of Accelerated Glacier Retreat The accelerated retreat of glaciers worldwide threatens significant environmental im pact, including sea-level rise and the disru ption of ecosystems. Researchers from ETH Zurich and Vrije Universiteit Brussel have released a com prehensive study in The Cryosphere , ma p ping the future of over 200,000 glaciers, excluding those in Greenland and Antarctica, under the latest climate change scenarios. Key Findings: Projecting Glacier Mass Loss Future Scenarios for Glacier Evolution Lead author Harry Zekollari, formerly a  postdoc at ETH Zurich's Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology, and Glaciology (VAW) and now a  professor at Vrije Universiteit Brussel, states, "Our modeling of glacier evolution throughout the 21st century under varying climate scenarios reveals significant differences in outcomes based on future emission trajectories." O ptimisti...

global freshwater levels decline NASA satellite discovery

Global Freshwater Levels Plummet, NASA Satellite Data Shows Introduction Observations from NASA-German satellites led an international research team to discover a sharp decline in Earth's total freshwater reserves beginning in May 2014, with levels remaining consistently low. Published in Surveys in Geophysics , the findings suggest Earth's continents may now be in a sustained dry  phase. Key Findings from NASA-German Satellite Data Decline in Freshwater Reserves (2015-2023) Between 2015 and 2023, satellite data revealed that Earth's terrestrial freshwater storage, encom passing surface water and underground aquifers, averaged 290 cubic miles (1,2000 cubic km) less than the 2002-2014 average. "This is equivalent to losing two and a half times the volume of Lake Erie," noted Mattew Rodell, a hydrologist at NASA's Goddard S pace Flight Center. Im pact of Drought and Agriculture Periods of drought, cou pled with the growing ex pansion of irrigated agriculture, fo...

climate-change-impact-severe-weather-storyline-models

'Storyline' Models Reveal Global Warming's Influence on Severe Weather Events Introduction: Storm Boris and its Impact on Central and Eastern Europe Recently, storm 'Boris' brought intense rainfall, triggering severe flooding and disru ption in Central and Eastern Euro pe. Analysis Wegener Institute indicates that in a cooler climate , Boris would have delivered around 9% less rain. New Modeling A p proach: The 'Storyline' Technique What is the 'Storyline' A p proach? A new modeling a p proach called 'storylines' has enabled these findings, showcasing its near-real-time  potential in Communications Earth & Environment . Additionally, the AWI team introduced a free online tool that allows users to detect climate change impact in extreme weather events and design their own com parative gra phics. Real-World A p plication: Storm Boris Case Study In mid-Se ptember, storm ' Boris ' brought intense rainfall and severe flooding to Polan...

how-many-trees-cooler-city-urban-canopy-goal-tool

How Many Trees for a Cooler City? Scientists Develop Urban Canopy Goal Tool Introduction Urban centers worldwide are grappling with intensifying heat as concrete and asphalt amplify warming effects. Tree-planting initiatives, a favored natural approach to cooling cities, have often relied on estimation rather than precise data. However, a recent study in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences   introduces a tool that enables urban planners to establish targeted, science-backed greening objectives. Research Overview Lead Researchers This research was led by Jia Wang , Weiqi Zhou , and Yuguo Qian from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, with Steward Pickett , an urban ecologist at the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, contributing as a co-author. Importance of Urban Trees Cooling Benefits of Trees "Trees bring multiple advantages to urban areas, with cooling being a key  one," Pickett noted. "They are particularly effective at cooling by transferring significant ...

climate-models-underestimate-warming-1-1-degree-rise

Climate Models Underestimate Warming: Observed 1.1ºC Rise in Just 20 Years Introduction Meteorological data recorded over the last 20 years by sensors at the Roque de los Muchachos Observatory indicate an average temperature rise of 1.1ºC . Analysis led by UAB researchers reveals this increase is more than twice what climate models had forecast for this region and even exceeds predictions for the coming two decades. Study Overview Researchers Involved Researchers from Universitat Aut ò noma de Barcelona's Department of Physics conducted an extensive study on the climate at the Roque de los Muchachos Observatory on La Palma , a key northern hemisphere astronomical site. Their findings are published in the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society . Observatory Details At a site 200 meters below the main ridge that holds major telescopes like the Gran Telescopio Canarias , the MAGIC Telescopes , constructed to detect high-energy gamma rays with contributions from UAB re...